Showing posts with label debt. Show all posts
Showing posts with label debt. Show all posts

Friday, May 11, 2018

ELC Demand for More Abbott Construction Debt Can Only Cut K-12 Operating Aid


David Sciarra of the Education Law Center has renewed his crusade to get the State of New Jersey to "promptly" borrow billions in order to pay for 100% of the costs of construction projects in the Abbott districts.

May 10, 2018 
All $2.9 billion in bond financing for school construction projects approved by the New Jersey Legislature in 2008 is now spent or committed, and lawmakers must promptly approve a new round of funding for urgently needed projects across the state.
Education Law Center Executive Director David Sciarra issued the call to action to replenish funds for school construction in testimony to the Legislature�s Joint Committee on the Public Schools on May 8.
The school construction program, which provides significant support to rebuild and upgrade New Jersey�s aging facilities infrastructure, was launched in 2002 to comply with rulings in the landmark Abbott v. Burke case ordering the state to fully finance needed improvements to dilapidated, overcrowded and unsafe school buildings in the state�s 31 urban districts, called �SDA districts.�
In establishing the Abbott school construction program, the Legislature included grants for projects in non-SDA districts � called �regular operating districts� (ROD) � and county vocational schools. The program is administered jointly by the NJ Department of Education (DOE), which reviews district-wide plans and project proposals, and the Schools Development Authority (SDA). The SDA issues bonds and finances projects and is also responsible for facilities construction in the SDA districts.
ELC�s testimony highlighted the following:

  • The SDA has $1.7 billion in outstanding bond financing available for SDA districts, but virtually all of the funding is allocated to current projects in the pipeline to be completed over the next few years. 
  • In a review of the SDA districts� most recent long range facilities plans, the DOE identified the need for 381 major school construction projects � including renovations of 200 existing schools and construction of 102 new schools. 
  • The SDA has extremely limited funds remaining for emergent repairs and capital maintenance projects in the SDA districts. 

The funding for regular operating district grants and county vocational school facilities has been completely exhausted.

Although even Sciarra does not say how much money he wants New Jersey to borrow, if Sciarra's demand were to be heeded, it would increase New Jersey's already billion-dollar annual debt servicing costs and diminish K-12 operating aid and money for TPAF.

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It's a little commented on fact, but New Jersey's debt servicing costs for SDA construction have grown from $15 million per year in FY2002 to a projected $1.067 billion for FY2019.

Source, NJ Treasury, Budgets In Brief
"Note, FY 2012 Appropriation was reduced because $367.6 million in debt service costs were appropriated from funds in the FY 2011 budget." This chart smooths out this movement.

During Christie's tenure alone, debt servicing costs increased from $403 million in the last Corzine budget to $918 million, a $515 million increase that was more than double the $200 million increase in K-12 operating aid that occurred during Christie's administration.

Since the money for construction debt also comes from income taxes, it was partly the sharp increase in construction debt servicing that prevented Christie from better funding pensions and K-12 operating aid.

Mea Culpa
"Given Out" would be more accurate as "bonded for."
Sciarra provided no specific cost estimate for his construction demands, but doing even doing a fraction of the construction that Sciarra calls would be extremely costly and increase construction debt servicing costs.

I cannot estimate the costs of the construction Sciarra wants, but school construction anywhere in NJ is very costly.

The cost of Phillipsburg's new high school was $127.5 million and the cost of some new elementary schools in Jersey City, Pemberton, and other Abbotts has been in the $50-$60 million range.  Thus, the new construction alone would cost in the high ten-figures, before one even considers repairs.

In the two previous rounds of construction bonding in 2000 and 2008, 30% of the total money was reserved for non-Abbotts and vo-techs. Were the legislature to give money to non-Abbotts again, the costs would be higher.

New Jersey Needs a Unitary Funding Law for Construction Aid

Aside from the caution NJ must exercise in taking on more debt when we are always ranked as the one of the country's most indebted states, what is troubling about Sciarra's demand is that the Abbott districts are not, as a class, NJ's poorest districts.  

Hoboken is, by far, NJ's richest K-12 district in tax base per student, with over twice the tax base per student of Millburn.  Long Branch, Jersey City, and Neptune Township have average tax bases per student, so it is unfair that they would get the state pay for 100% of their construction costs.  Asbury Park, Harrison, Jersey City also have substantial sections of their tax base "hidden" behind PILOT deals.

True, most of the Abbotts remain poor.  Of New Jersey's 10 poorest districts for 2018-19 in Local Fair Share per student, nine are Abbotts.  Of the 50 poorest districts in Local Fair Share per student, 23 are Abbotts.

Under any appropriate construction financing law, low-income Abbotts would have the state pay for the large majority of construction costs, but is 100% state funding appropriate? Especially when the state aid targets for operating aid for the Abbott districts are so high?  Shouldn't all districts at least have some skin in the game?  

And even if 23 of the 50 poorest districts in New Jersey are Abbotts, what about the 27 non-Abbotts in the lowest-tax base fifty?  Is it right that Freehold Boro should have to put up with extreme crowdedness for years to get permission to override its voters on local construction bonding, because they had no hope that the state would contribute?  (eventually the state agreed to contribute 85%) 

And how is it appropriate to target precious state construction aid at the Abbotts when not all Abbotts have had enrollment growth?  Since 2009-10, Asbury Park, Keansburg, Neptune Twp, Burlington City, East Orange, Salem City, Pemberton Twp, Pleasantville, and Millville have lost residential enrollment.  Several other Abbotts, like Paterson, Jersey City, Newark, and Camden have lost enrollment in the traditional public school, with the growth in residential enrollment coming in the charter sector that does not benefit from SDA funding.

It is because of the shift of student to charter schools that brand-new, $54 million PS 26 in Jersey City opened at only half of its capacity in 2017.

Getting reform of Adjustment Aid has been difficult enough, but if we reformers are fortunate enough to win the battle over Adjustment Aid, we can set our sights on getting fairness in school construction aid too.  

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See Also:




Saturday, June 3, 2017

Education Law Center Lies About Sweeney Plan, Distorts Reality

The Education Law Center has yet again released a misleading screed warning of the "suffering" that will take place if redistribution of Adjustment Aid is allowed and "some students to benefit at the expense of others.�

Few details about the plan have been released, but it is clear that the loss of adjustment aid � designed to prevent steep drops in local budgets as districts transitioned to a new funding formula � would trigger deep and recurring cuts in teachers, support staff and programs essential to provide students with a �thorough and efficient,� or �T&E,� education under the SFRA and state constitution. 
To evaluate Senate President Sweeney�s plan, Education Law Center estimated the impact of a 20% loss of adjustment aid in year one of the proposed funding cut, and the full amount of the aid loss over the five-year period in which adjustment aid would be phased out entirely. ELC also analyzed the impact of the aid loss on a district�s adequacy budget under the SFRA, that is, the spending level required to provide a T&E education to the unique student population in each district.


The Education Law Center also includes a chart purporting to show how far below Adequacy districts will become as a result of losing their Adjustment Aid.

As usual, the Education Law Center completely ignores a district's responsibility and ability to pay for a share of its school system.

In the chart that shows estimates for how far below Adequacy district would become after losing Adjustment Aid, the Education Law Center assumes that the district will keep its tax levy constant despite the loss of aid.  

Hence, the Education Law Center assumes a district will lose all of its Adjustment Aid and then not even attempt to make up for the lost money through local taxes, "Because we are unable to accurately project changes to districts' adequacy budgets and local levy, year 5 estimates also use the FY18 projected adequacy budget and calculate spending by subtracting all adjustment aid from the prebudget year spending." 

This is ridiculous.  At the very least, the Education Law Center should have projected Year 5 by assuming 2% annual increases.

The Education Law Center does acknowledge in the introduction that districts could increase taxes by 2%, but pooh-poohs it.

Jersey City students are the biggest losers, experiencing an aid cut of $31.8 million in year one, followed by four consecutive years of cuts for a total of $158.8 million over five years. The district is currently spending $94 million below its adequacy budget. With a state-imposed 2% property tax cap, it would take decades to replace the lost adjustment aid with local dollars.

Here the Education Law Center's mendacity goes deeper because it ignores that Steve Sweeney's proposal has always included a provision to change the tax cap.  For instance, this is the langauge from an early version of Sweeney's bill:

[The Commission shall study] the tax levy growth limitation as established and calculated pursuant to section 3 of P.L.2007, c.62 (C.18A:7F-38) and its impact on the ability of school districts to adequately fund operating expenses;
Furthermore, the Education Law Center fails to acknowledge how large the Local Fair Shares are of aid-losing districts in order to give readers a sense of economic proportion.

Jersey City's Local Fair Share is $370 million for 2017-18, and that amount is constantly increasing.  So for Jersey City to make up even $31 million a year in lost aid is not an insurmountable financial hardship.

The Education Law Center's report ignores that all districts in NJ can already exceed the tax cap if they get affirmative votes from their electorates.

The report pretends that being above or below Adequacy is a binary categorization, so that all under Adequacy districts are alike.  Hence, Adjustment Aid districts like Salem City that is only $25 per student below Adequacy and Haddon Heights that is $29 per student below Adequacy are the same as Freehold Boro and Bound Brook, which are $8243 and $9836 per student below Adequacy, respectively.

-$25 ? -$9836

Also, if an Adjustment Aid district is below Adequacy, it is due to insufficient local taxation, not insufficient state aid.  Bound Brook, Freehold Boro, and numerous other under Adequacy districts overtax their residents and are under Adequacy due to a lack of state aid.

And for Jersey City, there is the problem-within-a-problem of the fact that Jersey City has PILOTed a third of its tax base, an amount that is $11.6 billion.

What About the Fiscal Crisis?

I can't believe this isn't a self-evident reason to redistribute aid, but New Jersey has a fiscal crisis and there is no place for New Jersey to get the money to fully fund SFRA without redistributing Adjustment Aid.  

The Education Law Center puts all of the blame on Christie, saying "It�s simply [sic] wrong to rely on Adjustment Aid to get New Jersey out of the school funding hole dug by Governor Christie."

Ok.  I think the hole was dug by the New Jersey Supreme Court, Governors Whitman-Christie, and our post-2001 economic stagnation, but even so, the missing context is that Chris Christie actually is increasing "education spending," but all the new money is going into various forms of debt:


The Education Law Center would undoubtedly support raising taxes on the rich, but  I have said repeatedly on this blog, the amount of money that the state would gain from a millionaire's tax is only $615 million. 

And New Jersey is still significantly underfunding its pensions.  For FY2018 despite a record payment, the underfunding will equal $2.5 billion, even though New Jersey uses a very optimistic 7.65% Discount Rate.

Although a Democratic governor would raise taxes and put some of that into K-12 education, how much more does the Education Law Center want from the state?

New Jersey already has one of the highest GDPs per person, but by the Education Law Center's own analysis, we already put the second highest percentage of our GDP into education.  According to the National Education Association, we have the country's third lowest student:teacher ratio.

The Education Law Center does not acknowledge how bad New Jersey's budget forecast is, as New Jersey's pension payments and healthcare costs must increase by hundreds of millions per year too, so it's foolish to think that more than a small fraction of new revenue will go into K-12 operating aid.

http://www.nj.gov/treasury/omb/publications/17bib/BIB.pdf

And for health care (all-in, public sector):

Source:
http://www.nj.gov/treasury/omb/publications/17bib/BIB.pdf


So, given New Jersey's enormous debts, limited ability to increase revenue through higher taxes, there is no way for New Jersey to fairly fund its schools without redistributing Adjustment Aid.

The Education Law Center is the reactionary.  Sweeney and his allies are the progressives.


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See Also:



Friday, March 3, 2017

New Jersey=Debtors' Prison: The 2017-18 Budget

Note, this post was accurate at the time it was written regarding flat-funding for K-12 operating aid.  In June 2017 Steve Sweeney pushed through a deal that did increase K-12 aid by $100 million, PreK by $25 million, and Extraordinary Aid by another $25 million.   See this update on disparities for a look after Sweeney's last-minute changes.

Everything in this post I say about categories of debt getting the lion's share of new money remains still accurate. 


The Garden State
For 2017-18 K-12 state operating aid for school districts is increasing by a measly $3,140,585, all of which is going for Interdistrict Choice and Host District Stabilization Aid for Newark.

Of New Jersey's 577 school districts, only 91 are receiving any aid increase at all.

Even New Jersey's most savagely underaided districts, like Manchester Regional, Freehold Boro, East Newark, Chesterfield are gaining nothing.  Bound Brook, who was the most underaided school district for 2016-17, is getting a $6,387 boost, which is for perhaps another Interdistrict Choice student.

Atlantic City, which had lost another $2 billion in Equalized Valuation, gained nothing other than $60,881 for Interdistrict Choice.  This is a contrast to last year, when Atlantic City gained $32 million last year for "Commercial Valuation Stabilization Aid."

Since state aid for 2016-17 was $8,031,337,333, the increase is an imperceptible 4 one-thousandths of a percent.  2016-17 was a bad year too, but at least in that year K-12 aid increased by $90 million.

Yet there is more to this story than just the headline aid increase of $3,140,585 and that untold story is large increases for New Jersey's debt.


  • TPAF funding is increasing by $411 million.  
  • Post-retirement medical funding for teachers is increasing by $69.9 million.
  • Debt Service on Christie Whitman's Pension Obligation Bonds is increasing by $15.4 million.
  • Debt service aid (which goes directly to districts) is increasing by $17.4 million.  

State Debt Servicing, which is for the bonds the Economic Development Authority floated for (mostly Abbott) construction is increasing by $20.5 million from $898.3 million to $918.8 million.

New Jersey's expenses for teachers Social Security is actually falling.  Perhaps this is due the 2016-17 budget cuts meaning that there are now fewer teachers?

Because TPAF and other education debt expenses increased so much, education spending (broadly defined as opex aid and other education-related expenses) is now 39% of the state budget versus only 31% of the budget in 2001. (FY2018 = $13.8 billion out of $35.5 billion)

Click to Enlarge.
Source, pg 41
http://www.nj.gov/treasury/omb/publications/18bib/BIB.pdf


And for comparison's sake, here is where the increase for 2016-17 went.  (the graph refers to "proposed increases," but these proposed increases actually were implemented.)

As you can see, it's the same story.






Friday, January 20, 2017

Why the ELC's "Just Fund the Formula" is Impossible


On January 17th, David Sciarra of the Education Law Center appeared
before the Assembly Education Committee and presented his solution to the crisis of New Jersey education aid:

"Just Fund the Formula"

However, before Sciarra got to "solution," he began with a preamble that unintentionally explained the pension crisis, when he boasted that New Jersey:

"leads the nation by funding our public schools not on available dollars or raw political considerations, but on the needs of students and schools"

First, this history inaccurate.  NJ has never properly funded working class and poor non-Abbotts.  The utopian dream that Sciarra refers to only applies to the 31 districts that were lucky enough to receive the NJ Supreme Court's "Abbott Remedy."  [see below for disparities of funding between Abbotts and poor non-Abbotts]

Anyway, Sciarra is right about the overall immensity of the spending though and it is that 20+ year budgetary history of ignoring "available dollars" that pressured Florio, Whitman, and their successors to ultimately abandon New Jersey's pension system.

Anyway, Sciarra started with a message that said, literally and loudly, :  
"Just Fund the Formula"

Let�s get right to the heart of why we�re here today.   
The problem with school funding is not our formula but the fact that Governor Christie, since he took office in 2010, has steadfastly refused to fund it, even at reduced levels. He also cut $1.1 billion from the formula in his first budget, an aid cut yet to be restored in many districts across the state. NJ school districts should be � but are not � receiving an additional $1 billion in state aid in the current school year. 
Another consequence of the Governor�s failure to fund the SFRA is that more school districts are now �below adequacy,� and the gap between �adequacy� and the state and local revenue in district budgets has grown. Each district�s �adequacy budget� is at the heart of the SFRA; it represents the level of spending, based on weighted student enrollment, districts must have to provide a thorough and efficient education. ....

Sciarra then spent much of his testimony criticizing Christie's "Fairness Formula," even though no one had spoken in favor of it, before getting back to his Just Fund the Formula "solution," concluding:

So let�s keep our focus on the SFRA and what we can do to get districts on a path to adequacy through the formula. We can start with three simple steps:
� Beginning with the FY18 State Budget, implement a multi-year phase-in of new state aid through the SFRA formula, targeting the aid to districts that are most under adequacy and/or experiencing significant increases in student population.
       [to be continued on Sciarra's other steps.]

Ok, poor me.

The time it takes to refute bullshit is many times the amount of time it takes to create the bullshit in the first place, but here is my explanation of why Sciarra's "Just Fund the Formula" is impossible.

Here goes:

This is debt as a percentage of state income.
First, Sciarra never says what the cost is of "Just Fund the Formula," but for 2016-17, without redistribution, bringing every district up to its uncapped aid for K-12 would be $2 billion.  However, that $2 billion figure is sure to rise due to inflation and the fact that in most of NJ's underaided towns, Equalized Valuations are falling or lagging.  Since Local Fair Share depends, in part, on Equalized Valuation, this means that Local Fair Shares will fall and the state formula will increase aid targets for districts.

Fully funding the PreK component of SFRA would cost $700 million.  ($700 million = $13,500 per student x 50,000 eligible students)

$2.7 billion would be a large increase for any state, but New Jersey is one of the country's most indebted states, with up to $200 billion (state+local) in debt and unfunded liabilities.

Every year NJ's state revenue increases by about $1 billion through economic growth, but pension costs, medical costs, and debt servicing costs consume all that new revenue:




Although New Jersey's non-pension debt will actually fall by a few hundred million a year, the federal copay for ACA-related Medicaid expansion is also slated to fall too, so NJ's Medicaid expenses might eat up that savings.  

So David, the state is broke?  Get it?

But what about "making the rich and corporations pay their fair share?"

Ok.  Sure.  But raising the top bracket from 8.97% to 10.75% (which would give us the country's second highest top bracket) would only bring in $615 million and $615 million isn't even close to being enough to fully fund SFRA.

Sciarra would probably support other tax increases, like Combined Reporting, but the amount of money NJ might get from that is $100-$200 million.  Perhaps Combined Reporting is appropriate (even Republican Jack Ciattarelli supports it), but Combined Reporting was vigorously protested by businesses when Connecticut imposed it in 2015 and was one factor in GE's decision to leave the Nutmeg State.

Whatever the economic consequences are of Combined Reporting, even another $100-$200 million per year plus the $615 million per year from a higher top bracket are not enough to fully fund SFRA.
Other Education Law Center Ideas:

Aside from "Just Fund the Formula" Sciarra did present a few other ideas on charter schools and limited reductions of Adjustment Aid that I will address now:

Gradually phase out hold harmless aid [ie, Adjustment Aid] to districts that are over their SFRA adequacy budgets and to charter schools. Charter schools should also be required to adhere to the same 2% cap on excess fund balance as districts. 

Ok, if New Jersey only eliminated "Hold Harmless Aid" that currently goes to over Adequacy districts then the total amount of aid that could be redistributed is reduced from about $550 million to less than $100 million.

Also, although the over-Adequacy districts get $174,024,179 in Adjustment Aid, they mostly undertax and therefore they are nowhere near $174 million over Adequacy.

For instance, Asbury Park gets $24 million in (nominal) Adjustment Aid, but it is only $13.9 million above Adequacy.  Hoboken gets $5.4 million in Adjustment Aid, but it is only $1.1 million above Adequacy.  Pleasantville gets $14 million in Adjustment Aid, but it is only about $100,000 above Adequacy.  Etc etc etc.

All in all, if New Jersey follows David Sciarra's advice and no Adjustment Aid district is allowed to sink below Adequacy, the most aid that could be redistributed is $93 million.

The nine most underaided districts alone for 2016-17 (Bound Brook, Manchester Regional, East Newark, Freehold Boro, Atlantic County Vo-Tech, Fairview, Ridgefield Park, Hi Nella, and Atlantic City) have a combined aid deficit of $103 million.  

David Sciarra and the Education Law Center are very hostile to charter schools, so he basically lies about charter school surpluses to distract everyone from the injustice of Adjustment Aid.  "Charter schools should also be required to adhere to the same 2% cap on excess fund balance as districts."

This Education Law Center argument against charter school surpluses goes back to a 2015 report where the Education Law Center claimed that NJ charters had a $100 million hoard  that they were unethically withholding from district schools

However,  the unacknowledged context is:
  1. The Education Law Center looked at charter surpluses in June, when charter school surpluses are at their peak due to the need to save money for salaries in July and August, when charter schools receive no money.
  2. Charter schools do not receive facilities money (or very much of it) and cannot bond money, so they therefore have to save operating money for several years in order to pay for their construction needs.  
In any case, charter schools' purported $100 million cumulative "surplus" is less than one-fifth the "surplus aid" that overaided districts get annually via Adjustment Aid.

Sciarra concluded with a reform to the tax cap law I agree with:

� Raise the 2% cap on increases in local property taxes for school budgets in districts under their adequacy budgets and where there is a sizable gap between their local revenue level (local levy) and the local fair share under the SFRA.

Indeed.  When Jersey City's tax deficit compared to its Local Fair Share is over $200 million, something is wrong.  The Education Law Center should make this point more often.

However, Sciarra made this a peripheral demand compared to "Just Fund the Formula."

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David Sciarra began his statement praising New Jersey for ignoring "dollars available" and spending whatever Education Law Center lawyers and utopian Supreme Court judges demanded, however, a state government isn't like the federal government and eventually the money runs out.  New Jersey's economic growth has been half of the national average since 2002, so the money is basically running out now.

Again, Sciarra is also wrong that NJ's state aid has been given out according to the "needs of students and schools," since the Abbott decisions only applied to the 31 Abbott districts, and poor non-Abbotts have been savagely neglected.

Finally, I can't even begin to think how Sciarra believes he is giving an honest argument when he doesn't even give the full cost of fully funding SFRA.



WHAT Steve Sweeney and others are trying to do now is finally right that wrong and restore justice and common sense to a state aid landscape that aligns to need as it was in the 1980s, not today.

The Education Law Center's opposition to this reflects how it has become a reactionary organization that opposes its original tenets.  It is standing athwart common sense and justice.

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Below:  As you can see, poor non-Abbotts receive nowhere near as much state aid as Abbott districts do.


This chart does not include PreK money or construction money.


Thursday, September 1, 2016

The NJ Supreme Court and the Evisceration of the Debt Limitation Clause


Is there any subject in school which American kids are lied to as much as civics?

The "Three Ring Circus":
Real Government Ain't Schoolhouse Rock
Back in many iterations of civics I took in school, I was told that a myth that the legislative branch wrote the law, the executive branch implemented the law, and the judicial branch stepped in to settle disputes over what the law meant.

I remember my 4th grade teacher, Mrs. Eisenberg, telling us the legislature had the "power of the purse" and then jangling coins in front of the class.  With a vivid memory like that, it never occurred to me that judges might control taxes after all.

I was told a constitution could only be changed by an (often cumbersome) amendment process and that a court itself didn't have the power to amend a constitution.

Oh innocent me!

When it comes to lawmaking, few state Supreme courts can match the NJ Supreme Court, who has seized the "power of the purse" and whose judicial "independence" ought to be considered judicial supremacy.

Anyway, I thought I'd provide this handy guide to how the NJ Supreme Court has rewritten the NJ Constitution without the hassle of the legislature or voters having to get involved. (see here for the official text that the NJ Supreme Court cites in its lawmaking.)

The Education Clause 
(Article VIII, Section IV, Paragraph 1)

Original Text:
The Legislature shall provide for the maintenance and support of a thorough and efficient system of free public schools for the instruction of all the children in the State between the ages of five and eighteen years.

Note: The language "thorough and efficient system of schools" appears in several other states' constitutions, including Pennsylvania's, Minnesota's, Maryland's, and Illinois'. This language has not be interpreted in other states as extravagantly as it has been interpreted in New Jersey.

The "thorough and efficient" clause first appeared in NJ's third Constitution, which was approved in 1875.

From those three words "thorough and efficient" the NJ Supreme Court has constructed 21 Abbott decisions, hundreds of pages of legal verbiage, required school spending tens of billions in excess of what NJ's legislature would have given, and helped make NJ the country's third most indebted state.

The Education Clause has never been officially changed, but I think this is a fair reading of what it really means nowadays.

Abbottized Text:
1. The Legislature shall provide for the maintenance and support of a thorough and efficient system of free public schools  [funded in excess of DFG I and J districts]
for the instruction of all the children in the State [districts that were classified as DFG A or B and Urban in the 1980s] between the ages of five three and eighteen years.

My term of art "districts classified as DFG A or B and Urban in the 1980s" means "Abbott districts."

There is a myth that the Abbott districts are NJ's poorest.  Instead, the Abbott list is the overlap of districts who were classified as DFG A or B in the 1980s with districts who were also "urban municipalities" according to a (politicized) Department of Community Affairs listing.  Scores of poor districts were excluded and a handful of non-poor districts, like Pemberton and Hoboken, were included.

I'm being tongue in cheek here about the NJ Supreme Court requiring that the Abbott list be permanently based on 1980s economic conditions.  It is the fault of NJ legislature and governors that the Abbott list has never been updated.

Although many people might contend that two years of Pre-K is educationally justified and worth the cost, it is a long constitutional stretch for the NJ Supreme Court to mandate Pre-K since the plain wording of the NJ Constitution says that the state is only obligated to provide a "thorough and efficient system of schools" for children age five to eighteen.

Anyway, the Supreme Court's changes to the Education Clause were additions.  The Supreme Court's changes to the Debt Limitation Clause is a deletion.

The Debt Limitation Clause 
(Article VIII, Section 2, Paragraph 3a)

3. a. The Legislature shall not, in any manner, create in any fiscal year a debt or debts, liability or liabilities of the State, which together with any previous debts or liabilities shall exceed at any time one per centum of the total amount appropriated by the general appropriation law for that fiscal year, unless the same shall be authorized by a law for some single object or work distinctly specified therein. Regardless of any limitation relating to taxation in this Constitution, such law shall provide the ways and means, exclusive of loans, to pay the interest of such debt or liability as it falls due, and also to pay and discharge the principal thereof within thirty-five years from the time it is contracted; and the law shall not be repealed until such debt or liability and the interest thereon are fully paid and discharged.
Except as hereinafter provided, no such law shall take effect until it shall have been submitted to the people at a general election and approved by a majority of the legally qualified voters of the State voting thereon. [my emphasis]

Note: The simple version of this is that NJ's voters must approve debt issuance greater than 1% of NJ's budget. Another way of putting it is "one ?Legislature may not incur debts [that] subsequent Legislatures would be obligated to pay, without prior approval by public referendum."

A version of this clause first appeared in the NJ Constitution of 1844, after the Panic of 1837, during which nine of NJ's "sister states" had defaulted. The idea behind the Debt Limitation Clause if that voters had to approve the debt and a method of paying the debt off, NJ would stay responsible and not overborrow.

Shorter Justice Alan Handler:
"An Abbott district's unwillingness to tax itself is
the same as its inability."
The Debt Limitation clause was respected strictly until after WWII, when it began to be eroded by debt for public authorities and one round of unapproved bonding for colleges, however, public authorities (like the Turnpike Authority) and colleges have their own revenue sources, so the repayment was not from tax dollars.

The most egregious violation of the Debt Limitation Clause has been through the bonding for (mostly Abbott) construction in the wake of 1997 and 1998's Abbott IV and Abbott V decisions, in which the NJ Supreme Court ordered 100% state funded construction for the Abbotts.

In the Abbott IV decision, Justice Alan B. Handler considered the truly bad facilities conditions of the Abbotts, but ignored their spectrum of tax base strength and tax stress, ignored non-Abbotts, ignored the massive operating aid the Abbotts were already receiving and then ordered state taxpayers to pay for every cent of Abbott construction, without a sliding scale of local responsibility.  
The State must, as part of its obligation under the education clause, provide facilities for children in the special needs districts that will be sufficient to enable those students to achieve the substantive standards that now define a thorough and efficient education. The quality of the facilities cannot depend on the district's willingness or ability to raise taxes or to incur debt.
Again, notice that Handler doesn't distinguish between willingness and ability to pay; from Handler's opinions, if an Abbott district is unwilling to pay, it is the same as if it were unable to pay.

Handlerism:
"Unwillingness=inability."

My problem with the NJ Supreme Court's argument is that the same deplorable conditions existed in non-Abbotts and not all Abbott schools were in this kind of terrible state.   The 100% state funding requirement is unfair to poor districts who are not Abbotts.  By not requiring the Abbotts to make any kind of copay, there is an incentive towards great waste, since the Abbotts are not spending their own money.

Over the two years after Abbott V came out the DOE did a more comprehensive survey of Abbott facilities, the cost of Abbott construction had grown to $6 billion, with another $2.6 billion thrown in for non-Abbotts to make legislative passage possible.  ($8.6 billion = $12 billion in 2016 dollars.)

Obeying the Supreme Court's dictate, in 2000 the Whitman Administration and legislature approved the "Education Facilities Construction Financing Act."  The $8.6 billion bond was NJ's largest single debt offering ever.

As the Star-Ledger reported:

The cost of rebuilding New Jersey's aging and overcrowded public schools could reach $11.5 billion - twice Gov. Christie Whitman's original projection - over the next seven years, state Treasurer Roland Machold estimated yesterday as lawmakers held their first public hearing on the plan. 
Machold said the program to rebuild hundreds of schools will cost taxpayers at least $500 million a year, but the Senate sponsor of the construction legislation, Sen. William Gormley (R-Atlantic), said he thinks the cost is likely to be even higher. He wants lawmakers to plan on spending up to $750 million a year on school construction. 
Either estimate would make school construction a dominant element in state budgets for years to come. It would amount to a 10 percent boost in state school aid, which already accounts for one-third of state spending. Even at $500 million per year, it would outstrip the state's annual spending on highway and mass transit construction, state colleges or welfare.

Lawmakers plan to issue billions of dollars in bonds to pay for the work, but there is no clear consensus on how to raise the $500 million to $750 million it will take to make the annual payments on those bonds.  [my emphasis]  (1)
NJ's state aid at the time was only $5 billion, so the Supreme Court had set in motion construction debt that would consume a tenth of NJ's aid distribution.

The bond issuance was highly controversial and many Republicans objected.

As the Star-Ledger reported:

"Abbott vs. Burke is wrongly decided from the beginning," [Assembly Speaker Jack] Collins said. "This just perpetuates that wrongness."
Collins argued that some of the so-called special-needs districts have prospered since the court case began three decades ago, and he says it is unfair to other needy communities to give the 30 districts special state funding treatment.
"This is illogical. It is wrong," Collins said at yesterday's hearing. "Ninety percent is a number that literally would make dollars available for other districts or for other state projects."  (2)
Collins reasonably said that the state should only pay for 90% of the costs of Abbott school construction, but then-Commissioner David Hespe objected, saying a 90% copay would cause the whole of Abbott to be re-litigated.

Despite the fact that the NJ Constitution says that the legislature cannot issue large debt "in any manner" without voter approval, the obsolescence of the Abbott list even in the 1990s, the legislature bowed to the NJ Supreme Court and approved the bond issuance.

The opposition then came from Mayor Steve Lonegan of Bogota, who was incensed by the debt issuance and organized a group "StopTheDebt" to challenge school construction bonding and (other debts issued) that was taking place without voter approval.

In the Lonegan I decision, Chief Justice Deborah Poritz declared for a 5-1 Supreme Court:

  1. School bonding debt was "sui generis" because the Education Clause, supported by the School Funding Clause, of the NJ Constitution superseded the Debt Limitation Clause.  
  2. The school construction bonding was labeled "contract debt" and bond buyers knew repayment was subject to the appropriations process.

    "Although there is doubtless a strong likelihood that payment of the bonds will in fact be met by legislative appropriations, we find nothing in the statute compelling the State to make such payments as a matter of law."

    I.e., the debt was not backed by the "full faith and credit" of New Jersey, i.e., the debt was not "General Obligation" bonds.  There is no "legal right to compel" repayment.

The legal argument the NJ Supreme Court's decision was rooted not on the NJ Constitution, but the NJ Supreme Court's own case law.

And not in some hoary old precedent that a consensus had crystalized around, but the Abbott V decision of 1998.

we uphold the Act because of reliance by the State on our prior case law, including Abbott v. Burke, 153 N.J. 480, 710 A.2d 450 (1998) (Abbott V), and for the separate and distinct reason that EFCFA was enacted by the Legislature in furtherance of the mandate found in Article VIII, Section IV, paragraph 1 (the Education Provision) of the New Jersey Constitution.

In other words, there's pure self-referential reasoning here.  The NJ Supreme Court decided the Debt Limitation Clause didn't apply because of what the NJ Supreme Court already decided in 1998.

The Supreme Court's Constitutional escape clause was that it was technically legal for NJ to default on school construction debt, and therefore it wasn't really debt.  

Lonegan claimed the "contract debt" concept was "subterfuge employed solely to avoid and contravene the Debt Limitation Clause of our Constitution" but the Supreme Court ignored that.

Post-Lonegan, this was the state of the Debt Limitation Clause:

3. a. The Legislature shall not, in any manner, create in any fiscal year a debt or debts, liability or liabilities of the State, which together with any previous debts or liabilities shall exceed at any time one per centum of the total amount appropriated by the general appropriation law for that fiscal year, unless the same shall be authorized by a law for some single object or work distinctly specified therein. Regardless of any limitation relating to taxation in this Constitution, such law shall provide the ways and means, exclusive of loans, to pay the interest of such debt or liability as it falls due, and also to pay and discharge the principal thereof within thirty-five years from the time it is contracted; and the law shall not be repealed until such debt or liability and the interest thereon are fully paid and discharged.
Except as hereinafter provided, no such law shall take effect until it shall have been submitted to the people at a general election and approved by a majority of the legally qualified voters of the State voting thereon.
The most extraordinary deletion is "in any manner," since I would think "in any manner" means "no debt without voter approval," no matter what.

Post-Script

The NJ Supreme Court originally thought Abbott construction would cost $1.8 billion, but even the $6 billion for Abbott construction paid for by the 2000 bonds was inadequate due to systematic waste, exposed by the Inspector General.

The NJ Supreme Court thus ordered a second bond issuance in 2008 for $3.9 billion (of which $2.9 was earmarked for the Abbotts.)  ($3.9 bil = $4.3 bil in 2016 dollars)

As you can see, school construction debt is now nearly $1 billion a year.

Source, 2015 Debt Report
http://www.nj.gov/treasury/public_finance/pdf/DebtReportFY2015.pdf

And NJ is one of the US' most indebted states by any measure.


Of course all this bonding has created splendid facilities in Abbott districts:




And poor non-Abbotts were left behind.

East Newark's elementary school is from the 1890s and East Newark is a very poor DFG A town, but the state has ignored East Newark since East Newark is a non-Abbott.

East Newark's School is from the 1890s


The 2008 Constitutional Amendment on Debt Was a Joke


By 2008 NJ was one of the country's most indebted states. Of the state's $32 billion in debt, only $2.8 billion had been approved by the voters as the Constitution required. (The $32 bil doesn't count pension and retiree health care debt.)

In that year the legislature let the voters vote on a amendment that would superficially prohibit the future issuance of Contract Debt. The amendment was primarily authored by Leonard Lance, who promoted it as a way to rein in debt:

"Over the past couple of decades Trenton politicians have used a loophole to avoid the constitutional provision that all state borrowing must be approved by the voters. The Trenton politicians set up what amounts to dummy corporations (state authorities) to do the borrowing for them. Under this system total state debt has ballooned to nearly $40 million. This debt load is unsustainable."


Lance was right about the debt load being unsustainable, but it wasn't "Trenton politicians" who exclusively loaded up NJ on debt.  It was "Trenton Judges," like Alan Handler who forced this massive debt on the taxpayers, plus Abbott district and Department of Education bureaucrats.

But the Democrats only allowed the amendment to go to the voters after they had subtly gutted it.

Yes, the 2008 amendment reads as follows and would seemingly prohibit Contract Debt even for Abbott construction.

b. On and after the date on which this subparagraph b. becomes part of the Constitution, the Legislature shall not enact any law that, in any manner, creates or authorizes the creation of a debt or liability of an autonomous public corporate entity, established either as an instrumentality of the State or otherwise exercising public and essential governmental functions, which debt or liability has a pledge of an annual appropriation as the ways and means to pay the interest of such debt or liability as it falls due and pay and discharge the principal of such debt, unless a law authorizing the creation of that debt for some single object or work distinctly specified therein shall have been submitted to the people at a general election and approved by a majority of the legally qualified voters of the State voting thereon. Voter approval shall not be required for any such law providing that the ways and means to pay the interest of and to pay and discharge the principal of such debt or liability shall be subject to appropriations of an independent non-State source of revenue paid by third persons for the use of the single object or work thereof, or from a source of State revenue otherwise required to be appropriated pursuant to another provision of this Constitution. [my emphasis]

Since the legislature's approval of this amendment was simultaneous with its approval of the $3.9 billion round of Abbott Contract Debt, and the NJ Supreme Court would reason that since the legislature passed Contract Debt for school construction at the same time it authorized an amendment prohibiting future Contract Debt, that the legislature's intent was to allow Abbott Contract Debt.

This means that the voters in 2008 had no choice but to constitutionalize Abbott Contract Debt: if the voters rejected the amendment, the Lonegan I NJ Supreme Court decision allowing Abbott Contract Debt would stand; if the voters passed the amendment Contract Debt would still be allowed since the amendment was passed at the same time that the legislature authorized other contract debt!

I remember voting for the debt constitutional amendment that year, but it never occurred to me that this amendment wouldn't actually disallow what was one of the biggest issuances of NJ debt.

The 2008 amendment was meaningless. The kind of borrowing for operating expenses that Jim McGreevey had done had already been disallowed by the Supreme Court anyway.
[update, this rationale is why Christie's $300 million bonding for statehouse renovations is legal.]

It's Our Fault

I've criticized the madness and despotism of the NJ Supreme Court repeatedly on this blog, but I have to admit, it's also our fault.

NJ's voters have had many chances to reform Abbott in the last quarter century but we haven't seriously tried to and we've elected politicians who support Abbott.  Steve Lonegan himself has ran for governor, but not even gotten the Republican nomination.

In my opinion, the acceptance of fiscally disastrous policies like Abbott isn't because we support Abbott, but because the true costs of Abbott have been obscured from us.  In the 1990s NJ dramatically cut pension contributions, diverted the pension money into education aid and other spending, and enjoyed a period of moderate taxes despite huge increases in spending.  Highly-informed voters didn't like the borrowing, but there was no urgency to fix anything among most people.

Our politicians and judges deserve a lot of blame for NJ's fiscal calamity, but ultimately, it's our fault. Representative democracy depends on voters understanding the issues and understanding where politicians stand on them.  It's easy to do a Leonard Lance and blame "Trenton politicians" for our mess, but we are the ones who elected and reelected them.

People don't get the laws they want, but they get the democracy they deserve.

---
Update, this is a history of NJ's school construction debt servicing.  A major reason that K-12 opex aid was flat-funded in the Christie years and municipal aid has been flat-funded continuing into the Murphy years.



---

More Abbott History:

Sources for Star-Ledger Quotes

(1) "Bottom line on schools may double - Hearing told the tab could hit $11.5 billion"

(2) "Help for poor schools draws fire - Assembly Republicans want to limit spending ordered by Supreme Court"

(3) "New Jersey voters to decide on two statewide ballot questions"






Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Pew Ranks NJ as USA's Fourth Most Indebted State

Why can't New Jersey fully fund SFRA?

The Education Law Center would have you believe that SFRA is underfunded because of the singular will of Chris Christie who "refuses to follow the formula," but Christie could not realistically fund SFRA even if he wanted to.

Why?

"It's the Debt Stupid!"

Pew ranks NJ as the country's fourth most indebted state, after Alaska, Hawaii, and Illinois.  NJ's debt equals 31.2% of personal income, as opposed to a countrywide average of 14.8% of income.

  In per person terms, NJ's retiree health care debt alone is greater than the total debt of ~20 states!  

NJ's problem isn't that we aren't putting more money into education.   On the contrary, education spending is increasing by $544 million for FY2017, which is more than half of the state budget's overall increase.  Our problem is that the types of education spending we have to put money into are pensions, retiree health care, Whitman-era borrowing debt, and (mostly Abbott) construction debt.  Given the necessity of putting more money into those categories, it's no wonder there's barely any left for K-12 operating aid.


The reduction of debt requires tax revenues, economic growth, and a sane NJ Supreme Court.  Unfortunately, due to Christie's veto of a "millionaire's tax," the Atlantic City implosion, and our sluggish job growth, the revenue increases aren't there to make NJ's debt more manageable.

NJ's debts, which verge on being unpayable, are what is wrecking our quality of life and our school systems.  Chris Christie is a terrible governor and person, but New Jersey's next governor isn't going to be much better when it comes to school aid.